Market Recap June 28, 2024

Market Recap for Week Ending June 28, 2024

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)

  • Weekly Change: Decreased by 0.08%

  • Technical Indicators: Above the 9 SMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, and 200 SMA.

  • Key Points:

    • Indecision candle on Friday, June 28, 2024.

    • Trading in the Neutral Zone based on Triple Witching Day.

    • RSI is above 50.

NASDAQ (NDX)

  • Weekly Change: Decreased by 0.09%

  • Technical Indicators: Below the 9 SMA, but above the 21 EMA, 50 SMA, and 200 SMA.

  • Key Points:

    • Shooting star candle on Friday, June 28, 2024.

    • Rejected in the Bullish Zone based on Triple Witching Day.

    • RSI is above 60.

S&P 500 (SPX)

  • Weekly Change: Decreased by 0.08%

  • Technical Indicators: Below the 9 SMA, but above the 21 EMA, 50 SMA, and 200 SMA.

  • Key Points:

    • Shooting star candle on Friday, June 28, 2024.

    • Rejected in the Bullish Zone based on Triple Witching Day.

    • RSI is above 60.

VIX (Volatility Index)

  • Weekly Change: Decreased by 4.50%

  • Key Points: The decrease in indices and the VIX indicates a divergence in the data.

Key Rates

  • Fed Funds Rate: 5.33

  • SOFR Rate: 5.34

  • TRIN: 1.66

Durable Goods

  • Monthly Change: Orders excluding transportation decreased by 0.1% in May 2024, following a 0.4% increase in April, missing the forecasted 0.2% increase.

US 2 Year Bond Auction

  • Yield: 4.79% on Monday, July 1, 2024.

M2 Money Supply

  • Monthly Change: Increased by $93.2 billion to $20.963 trillion in May 2024, the highest in 15 months.

Mortgage Rates

  • Weekly Change: The average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 6.93% from 6.94%.

Bank Stress Test

  • Results: Large banks are well-positioned to endure a severe recession and stay above minimum capital requirements, despite greater losses compared to last year’s test.

Jobless Claims

  • Weekly Change: Unemployment claims increased by 18,000 to 1,839,000 in the week ending June 15, 2024, the highest since November 2021.

PCE Data

  • Monthly Change: The personal consumption expenditure price index was unchanged in May 2024 from April, which was the least change in six months. Prices for goods decreased by 0.4% and prices for services increased by 0.2%.

  • Annual Change: The annual PCE inflation rate decreased to 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021.

Consumer Sentiment

  • Revised Value: The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for the US was revised higher to 68.2 in June 2024 from a preliminary reading of 65.6, surpassing market expectations of 65.8.

Sources